Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 20:00
12.0845.8%
X3.4527.6%
23.5926.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lyon
DWWLWWLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lille
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
0.30
80%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.00
Against
4.20
10.80
Total
6.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.30
3.20
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lyon attack
2.00goals per matchLille conceded0.30Matchup
Lille attack
1.90goals per matchLyon conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.20
10.80
Match total
6.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.00
Match total
25.60
Shots
17.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
7.30
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%40.6%-5.3 pp
Draw27.6%30.3%+2.7 pp
Away26.5%29.1%+2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.38–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.3%
2-110.9%
1-010.3%
1-28.6%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–4.30
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches63
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%18.9%–40.7% CI
Draw FT41.3%30.0%–53.6% CI
Away FT30.2%20.2%–42.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.9%
Away60.3%