Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 14:00
12.1145.1%
X3.4627.5%
23.4827.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
WLLWWWLWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Bordeaux
LWDWLLLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.70goals per matchBordeaux conceded1.60Matchup
Bordeaux attack
1.30goals per matchLorient conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.10
Match total
23.60
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%40.9%-4.2 pp
Draw27.5%28.0%+0.5 pp
Away27.4%31.1%+3.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS56.0%
Historical average
1.34–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
2-111.1%
1-010.7%
1-28.9%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.60–4.24
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.5%23.2%–43.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT30.0%21.1%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.3%
Away53.8%