Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 14:00
12.1145.1%
X3.4627.5%
23.4827.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lorient
WLLWWWLWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Bordeaux
LWDWLLLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.80
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.70goals per match
Bordeaux conceded1.60
Matchup

Bordeaux attack

1.30goals per match
Lorient conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
11.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
24.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.1%40.9%-4.2 pp
Draw27.5%28.0%+0.5 pp
Away27.4%31.1%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.341.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
2-111.1%
1-010.7%
1-28.9%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.24
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.5%23.2%–43.4% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.7%–48.5% CI
Away FT30.0%21.1%–40.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.5%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.3%
Away53.8%