Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 14:00
11.7355.1%
X3.6825.9%
25.0019.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
LWLLDDWDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nimes
LDLWLLWLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.30
Against
5.30
9.40
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
Nimes conceded2.10
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.10goals per match
Lens conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.30
9.40
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
25.60
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.1%53.2%-1.8 pp
Draw25.9%27.3%+1.4 pp
Away19.1%19.5%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.550.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-013.0%
1-112.3%
2-011.0%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.91
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.536.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.3%33.7%–59.4% CI
Draw FT37.0%25.4%–50.4% CI
Away FT16.7%9.0%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away35.2%