Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-25 · 12:00
12.7235.0%
X3.3628.3%
22.5936.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LLDLLWLWWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Montpellier
WDLLDWDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.70
Against
6.10
11.00
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.20goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.60
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.20goals per match
Nice conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
6.70
Corners against
6.10
11.00
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.10
Match total
2.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.80
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%38.9%+4.0 pp
Draw28.3%26.3%-2.0 pp
Away36.7%34.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS61.7%

Historical average

1.431.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
2-112.0%
1-29.0%
1-08.4%
0-26.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.045.02
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=167.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Draw FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Away FT27.3%16.3%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals52.3%
3+ goals29.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away59.1%