Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-24 · 12:00
12.0746.0%
X3.4927.3%
23.5726.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
DDDLDWDLLW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Brest
LDLLLDDLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

1.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.70
Matchup

Brest attack

0.60goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.00N=10
3.80
Match total
2.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.70
Match total
24.80

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.00
On target
1.70
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches153
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.0%43.1%-2.9 pp
Draw27.3%28.1%+0.8 pp
Away26.7%28.8%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

1.371.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.0%
1-016.3%
2-19.2%
1-28.5%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.38
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=153.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.8%26.4%–52.8% CI
Draw FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT30.6%19.5%–44.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.8%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.4%
Away55.1%