Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 20:00
15.8916.1%
X4.3022.1%
21.5461.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DDDDLLDLDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Lyon
WWWDWWWDDD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
2.20
1.30
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.40
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
2.10
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.80goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.20goals per match
Nantes conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
26.50
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
3.10
On target
6.30
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.1%18.8%+2.6 pp
Draw22.1%15.6%-6.5 pp
Away61.7%65.6%+3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

0.892.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.6%
2-19.4%
0-19.4%
2-27.8%
0-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.726.22
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away64.7%