Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-18 · 14:00
12.8333.7%
X3.2829.1%
22.5637.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WDWLLWLWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Lens
WLLDWWDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.20
Against
7.00
9.60
Total
12.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.70goals per match
Lens conceded1.30
Matchup

Lens attack

1.70goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.20
Corners against
7.00
9.60
Match total
12.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.20
Match total
24.50

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches136
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%36.0%+2.3 pp
Draw29.1%30.1%+1.1 pp
Away37.2%33.8%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS57.4%

Historical average

1.341.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
0-111.0%
1-09.6%
0-08.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.335.26
Average total10.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=136.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%20.5%–47.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%26.4%–54.4% CI
Away FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away51.2%