Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-17 · 16:00
12.0945.6%
X3.4327.8%
23.5726.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWLLLWDWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lorient
LLDLDDLDDL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.30
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.60
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.50goals per match
Lorient conceded1.80
Matchup

Lorient attack

0.90goals per match
Marseille conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
10.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.60
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
22.60
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.20
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%40.4%-5.2 pp
Draw27.8%28.8%+1.0 pp
Away26.7%30.8%+4.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.331.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
2-111.1%
1-011.1%
0-18.6%
1-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.32
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.6%21.1%–42.0% CI
Draw FT37.5%27.2%–49.0% CI
Away FT31.9%22.3%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.7%
Away59.7%