Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 20:00
11.6458.3%
X3.9024.5%
25.5517.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWDLWWDDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Montpellier
WWDLLDWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
1.90
40%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.20goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.20goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.80
Match total
24.30

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%58.8%+0.5 pp
Draw24.5%18.8%-5.7 pp
Away17.2%22.4%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.640.85

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.1%
2-014.1%
1-011.8%
0-19.4%
1-18.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.92
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.2%
Away39.1%