Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-16 · 20:00
11.6458.3%
X3.9024.5%
25.5517.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WWDLWWDDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Montpellier
WWDLLDWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
0.80
2H goals
1.90
40%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.00
Against
5.40
9.60
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.20goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.50Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.20goals per matchLille conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.40
9.60
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
0.80N=10
2.60
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.20N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.80
Match total
24.30
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.3%58.8%+0.5 pp
Draw24.5%18.8%-5.7 pp
Away17.2%22.4%+5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS45.9%
Historical average
1.64–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.1%
2-014.1%
1-011.8%
0-19.4%
1-18.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.32–3.92
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.537.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Draw FT34.8%18.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT26.1%12.5%–46.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals30.4%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.2%
Away39.1%