Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 16:05
11.1980.1%
X7.1613.3%
214.516.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WLDWWWDWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Dijon
WDWDLLLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.00
Against
6.70
8.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.10goals per match
Dijon conceded1.80
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.30goals per match
Monaco conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.70
8.20
Match total
10.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
26.70
Match total
24.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.80
On target
2.90
18%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.1%87.5%+7.4 pp
Draw13.3%7.5%-5.8 pp
Away6.6%5.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS35.0%

Historical average

2.700.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.0%
3-015.0%
2-012.5%
2-112.5%
5-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.632.80
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away45.5%