Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
12.0346.9%
X3.5127.2%
23.6825.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
LLWLLDDWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lorient
LLLDLDDLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.20goals per match
Lorient conceded1.80
Matchup

Lorient attack

0.80goals per match
Lens conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.50
Match total
24.10

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%48.4%+1.4 pp
Draw27.2%26.8%-0.4 pp
Away25.9%24.9%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.440.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-012.2%
1-111.7%
0-19.9%
0-09.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.504.28
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%30.4%–52.0% CI
Draw FT35.5%25.7%–46.7% CI
Away FT23.7%15.5%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away42.1%