Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
12.0346.9%
X3.5127.2%
23.6825.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lens
LLWLLDDWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lorient
LLLDLDDLDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
8.70
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lens attack
1.20goals per matchLorient conceded1.80Matchup
Lorient attack
0.80goals per matchLens conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
8.70
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
26.50
Match total
24.10
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
3.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%48.4%+1.4 pp
Draw27.2%26.8%-0.4 pp
Away25.9%24.9%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.44–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.6%
1-012.2%
1-111.7%
0-19.9%
0-09.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.50–4.28
Average total9.78
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.3%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.8%30.4%–52.0% CI
Draw FT35.5%25.7%–46.7% CI
Away FT23.7%15.5%–34.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.7%
2+ goals32.9%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away42.1%