Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
12.0346.9%
X3.6226.3%
23.5426.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brest
WWDWLLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nimes
LLDLWLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brest attack
2.00goals per matchNimes conceded2.30Matchup
Nimes attack
1.00goals per matchBrest conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
24.30
Match total
23.20
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%42.9%-3.9 pp
Draw26.3%21.2%-5.1 pp
Away26.9%35.9%+9.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS56.4%
Historical average
1.56–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.9%
0-110.9%
1-210.3%
1-19.6%
1-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.79–4.61
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.535.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT41.9%28.4%–56.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals27.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.5%
Away62.8%