Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-11 · 14:00
12.0346.9%
X3.6226.3%
23.5426.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WWDWLLWLWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nimes
LLDLWLLWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.60
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brest attack

2.00goals per match
Nimes conceded2.30
Matchup

Nimes attack

1.00goals per match
Brest conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
24.30
Match total
23.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.10
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%42.9%-3.9 pp
Draw26.3%21.2%-5.1 pp
Away26.9%35.9%+9.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.557.7%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.561.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-110.9%
0-110.9%
1-210.3%
1-19.6%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.61
Average total10.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.9%16.7%–42.7% CI
Draw FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT41.9%28.4%–56.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals27.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away62.8%