Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-10 · 20:00
12.6036.7%
X3.3728.3%
22.7235.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
LLLDLLWWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Marseille
WLLDLDDDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.70
2.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
10.50
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.70goals per matchMarseille conceded1.50Matchup
Marseille attack
0.80goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
10.50
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
25.80
Match total
29.00
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
8.30N=10
5.80
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches274
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.7%32.8%-3.8 pp
Draw28.3%30.3%+2.0 pp
Away35.0%36.9%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS56.2%
Historical average
1.22–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.8%
0-19.9%
1-09.5%
1-29.1%
2-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–4.64
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.2%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.4%20.8%–39.8% CI
Draw FT38.8%29.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT31.8%22.8%–42.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.5%
Away54.1%