Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-09 · 20:00
16.2015.4%
X3.6226.4%
21.6458.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
LLWDDWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Lille
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
0.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Against
3.50
10.30
Total
6.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
0.40
2.20
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Metz attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded0.40
Matchup

Lille attack

1.80goals per match
Metz conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.50
10.30
Match total
6.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.30
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.60
Match total
25.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches21
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.4%23.8%+8.4 pp
Draw26.4%14.3%-12.1 pp
Away58.2%61.9%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS38.1%

Historical average

0.811.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.0%
1-214.3%
0-29.5%
2-09.5%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.76
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=21.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.542.9%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Away FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.3%
Away58.8%