Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 20:00
11.4963.9%
X4.2822.2%
26.8413.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
WDWLLLWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Dijon
DWDWDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
6.50
8.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.50goals per match
Dijon conceded1.70
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.40goals per match
Marseille conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
6.50
8.30
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.80
Match total
25.40

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.9%64.7%+0.8 pp
Draw22.2%17.6%-4.6 pp
Away13.9%17.6%+3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

1.810.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.6%
2-110.3%
2-08.8%
1-18.8%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.60
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.2%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.7%41.3%–82.7% CI
Draw FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Away FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals23.5%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away29.4%