Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 14:00
12.4838.3%
X3.3128.7%
22.8733.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
LDDDDLLDLD
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Nice
DWLDWLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
8.20
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.70goals per match
Nice conceded1.20
Matchup

Nice attack

1.10goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
8.20
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.20
Match total
23.80

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
2.70
On target
4.20
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches194
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%37.1%-1.2 pp
Draw28.7%30.4%+1.7 pp
Away33.1%32.5%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.281.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.5%
1-010.8%
0-18.8%
2-07.2%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.224.58
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=194.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.6%24.6%–48.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%29.1%–53.4% CI
Away FT23.7%14.7%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.4%
2+ goals50.8%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away52.5%