Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-04 · 12:00
12.6136.5%
X3.2629.2%
22.7734.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Angers
LLWLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Montpellier
WWWDLLDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.10
Against
5.30
11.60
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Angers attack
1.00goals per matchMontpellier conceded1.40Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.30goals per matchAngers conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.30
11.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
0.80N=10
3.80
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.60
Match total
24.30
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
3.60
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches283
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%30.0%-6.4 pp
Draw29.2%35.0%+5.8 pp
Away34.4%35.0%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.520.5%
BTTS54.8%
Historical average
1.14–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
0-010.6%
0-110.6%
2-19.2%
1-28.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.72
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.536.5%
Over 11.526.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.9%15.6%–32.3% CI
Draw FT49.0%39.2%–58.8% CI
Away FT28.1%20.1%–37.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals11.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away50.0%