Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 20:00
14.0623.5%
X3.9024.4%
21.8352.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
DLLWLLDDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lyon
WWWWDWWWDD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.20
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.00
8.90
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.20goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.00
8.90
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
27.10
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.50
On target
5.90
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.5%21.7%-1.7 pp
Draw24.4%17.4%-7.0 pp
Away52.1%60.9%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

1.091.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-226.1%
1-18.7%
0-08.7%
0-16.5%
2-46.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.575.80
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.534.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away54.5%