Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 16:00
11.6856.7%
X3.7925.1%
25.2418.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Paris SG
DLWWWWWWLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lille
LDWWWWWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
0.70
70%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.30
Against
3.30
10.00
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
2.90
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Paris SG attack

2.10goals per match
Lille conceded0.70
Matchup

Lille attack

1.90goals per match
Paris SG conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.30
10.00
Match total
7.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
23.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.10
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%55.4%-1.3 pp
Draw25.1%20.8%-4.4 pp
Away18.2%23.8%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.660.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-012.3%
1-011.5%
2-111.5%
1-18.5%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.98
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.5%26.3%–56.5% CI
Draw FT37.8%24.1%–53.9% CI
Away FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.0%
2+ goals29.7%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.1%
Away35.1%