Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-04-03 · 12:00
11.4565.5%
X4.5720.8%
26.9113.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWLDWWWDWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Metz
DDWLWWLWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.00
Against
5.80
7.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.00goals per match
Metz conceded1.10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.60goals per match
Monaco conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.80
7.60
Match total
9.00
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.70
Match total
25.90

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.70
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.5%77.8%+12.3 pp
Draw20.8%6.7%-14.1 pp
Away13.7%15.6%+1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.513.3%
BTTS37.8%

Historical average

2.000.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-024.4%
2-122.2%
3-011.1%
0-18.9%
1-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.363.47
Average total9.82

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.524.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI
Away FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals78.6%
3+ goals50.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.6%
Away42.9%