Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 16:05
11.3271.9%
X4.9719.1%
210.509.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWWDLWWDDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Nimes
WLLDLWLLWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.60
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.70
50%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.40
Against
5.10
10.10
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.60
Goals conceded
2.20
2.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.50goals per match
Nimes conceded2.20
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.90goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.10
10.10
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.80
Match total
3.60
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
8.70N=10
23.00
Match total
23.20

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.9%76.5%+4.6 pp
Draw19.1%17.6%-1.4 pp
Away9.0%5.9%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

2.290.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.6%
2-211.8%
3-011.8%
1-011.8%
4-011.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.243.12
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–24.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.7%
Away25.0%