Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 14:00
12.3340.8%
X3.1730.0%
23.2629.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DLDDDDLLDL
0W 6D 4L · 0.60 PPM
Lorient
DLLLDLDDLD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.70
1.50
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
8.00
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.70goals per match
Lorient conceded1.70
Matchup

Lorient attack

0.70goals per match
Nantes conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
8.00
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
27.00
Match total
25.30

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.30
7%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches280
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.8%43.9%+3.1 pp
Draw30.0%32.5%+2.5 pp
Away29.2%23.6%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.280.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.4%
1-015.4%
0-011.1%
2-08.6%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.014.31
Average total9.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=280.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.543.2%
Over 10.534.3%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.2%26.8%–44.6% CI
Draw FT42.6%33.7%–52.0% CI
Away FT22.2%15.4%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away39.8%