Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-21 · 12:00
12.6635.8%
X3.3428.5%
22.6635.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Strasbourg
LDDLWWLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Lens
WWLLDWWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
6.60
8.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.20
Matchup

Lens attack

1.70goals per match
Strasbourg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.60
8.90
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.30
Match total
26.00

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.8%28.6%-7.1 pp
Draw28.5%34.4%+5.9 pp
Away35.8%37.0%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.071.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.1%
0-113.2%
0-09.3%
2-19.3%
1-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.84
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.5%14.7%–32.8% CI
Draw FT46.3%35.7%–57.1% CI
Away FT31.3%22.2%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.3%
Away57.5%