Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 16:00
12.9532.2%
X3.2629.2%
22.4638.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LLLLDLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Marseille
WWLLDLDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.10
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.10goals per match
Marseille conceded1.20
Matchup

Marseille attack

0.90goals per match
Nice conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
8.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
23.50
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.00
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%29.8%-2.4 pp
Draw29.2%26.0%-3.2 pp
Away38.6%44.3%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.071.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-114.5%
1-09.2%
2-17.6%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.18
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.2%
Away60.5%