Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-20 · 16:00
12.9532.2%
X3.2629.2%
22.4638.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nice
LLLLDLLWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Marseille
WWLLDLDDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.10
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nice attack
1.10goals per matchMarseille conceded1.20Matchup
Marseille attack
0.90goals per matchNice conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.10
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
23.50
Match total
29.30
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
3.00
On target
2.30
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches131
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%29.8%-2.4 pp
Draw29.2%26.0%-3.2 pp
Away38.6%44.3%+5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.4%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.07–1.41
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-114.5%
1-09.2%
2-17.6%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–5.18
Average total10.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=131.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches43
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.2%18.6%–45.1% CI
Draw FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Away FT34.9%22.4%–49.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.35
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals16.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.2%
Away60.5%