Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 16:05
12.4339.1%
X3.1130.5%
23.1330.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WWWLDWWWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lille
DLDWWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
2.00
1.10
Conceded
0.80
90%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.30
1.90
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.20
Against
3.20
8.20
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
2.00
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.40goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Matchup

Lille attack

2.00goals per match
Monaco conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.20
8.20
Match total
7.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
26.70
Match total
26.20

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.90
On target
4.70
20%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches224
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%36.6%-2.5 pp
Draw30.5%33.0%+2.5 pp
Away30.4%30.4%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.526.8%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.251.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.4%
0-110.3%
2-19.8%
1-09.4%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.954.80
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches87
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.8%14.5%–31.6% CI
Draw FT47.1%37.0%–57.5% CI
Away FT31.0%22.3%–41.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals17.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away60.9%