Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 14:00
11.9050.0%
X3.3928.0%
24.3421.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
DDLLWLLDDW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Metz
WDDWLWWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.20
9.20
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.40goals per match
Metz conceded0.90
Matchup

Metz attack

1.50goals per match
Lens conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.20
9.20
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.50
Match total
26.20

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.40
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%49.4%-0.7 pp
Draw28.0%30.6%+2.6 pp
Away21.9%20.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.519.4%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

1.410.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-013.8%
2-112.5%
0-012.5%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.763.84
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.536.3%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches60
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.7%–45.9% CI
Draw FT48.3%36.2%–60.7% CI
Away FT18.3%10.6%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away40.0%