Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-14 · 12:00
13.2929.0%
X3.5826.6%
22.1544.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
LLLLLLLWWD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Montpellier
WWWWDLLDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.60
9.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.90goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.30
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.30goals per match
Nimes conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.60
9.60
Match total
8.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.50
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.30
Match total
24.60

Shots

9.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
2.40
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%30.1%+1.1 pp
Draw26.6%29.2%+2.6 pp
Away44.4%40.7%-3.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.3%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.301.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-011.5%
1-110.6%
1-28.8%
2-18.8%
2-27.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.655.25
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.556.6%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.529.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.3%5.7%–31.5% CI
Draw FT50.0%32.6%–67.4% CI
Away FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal53.6%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away50.0%