Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 20:00
12.0346.8%
X3.5127.1%
23.6326.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
LWLLLDLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lorient
WDLLLDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
11.00
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.70goals per matchLorient conceded1.70Matchup
Lorient attack
0.90goals per matchMontpellier conceded2.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
11.00
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
25.30
Match total
24.60
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%38.1%-8.7 pp
Draw27.1%26.9%-0.2 pp
Away26.2%35.0%+8.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS54.4%
Historical average
1.43–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.9%
0-111.3%
1-210.6%
2-110.0%
1-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.61–4.64
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%11.7%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals22.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.9%
Away60.4%