Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 20:00
12.0346.8%
X3.5127.1%
23.6326.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
LWLLLDLLWW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Lorient
WDLLLDLDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
2.40
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
11.00
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
2.40
Goals conceded
1.70
4.10
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.70goals per match
Lorient conceded1.70
Matchup

Lorient attack

0.90goals per match
Montpellier conceded2.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
11.00
Match total
10.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.60
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
25.30
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
5.50
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.8%38.1%-8.7 pp
Draw27.1%26.9%-0.2 pp
Away26.2%35.0%+8.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.522.5%
BTTS54.4%

Historical average

1.431.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.9%
0-111.3%
1-210.6%
2-110.0%
1-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.614.64
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.557.5%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%11.7%–34.3% CI
Draw FT35.4%23.4%–49.6% CI
Away FT43.8%30.7%–57.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.9%
Away60.4%