Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 20:00
11.7554.4%
X3.5426.9%
25.1118.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
DWWWDLWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Marseille
WWWLLDLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
0.90
2H goals
1.40
40%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.70
Against
4.10
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.40goals per match
Marseille conceded1.00
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.10
10.20
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.30
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
23.50
Match total
29.60

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.90
On target
2.50
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%43.5%-10.9 pp
Draw26.9%32.3%+5.3 pp
Away18.6%24.2%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.440.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-119.4%
1-011.3%
0-011.3%
2-19.7%
0-19.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.033.63
Average total8.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.533.9%
Over 10.527.4%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Draw FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI
Away FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals4.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away47.8%