Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 18:00
12.7734.3%
X3.2729.0%
22.5936.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St Etienne
LLDDDDLDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Lens
WWWLLDWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
9.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

St Etienne attack

0.80goals per match
Lens conceded1.00
Matchup

Lens attack

1.50goals per match
St Etienne conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
9.70
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.50
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
26.10
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%29.2%-5.0 pp
Draw29.0%34.4%+5.4 pp
Away36.7%36.3%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.519.8%
BTTS51.9%

Historical average

1.061.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
0-112.7%
0-010.8%
1-29.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.004.79
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.0%15.8%–34.8% CI
Draw FT46.7%35.8%–57.8% CI
Away FT29.3%20.2%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.7%
Away53.3%