Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-03-03 · 18:00
11.7554.4%
X3.8424.8%
24.5620.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
DLLLLDLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Nimes
LWLLDLWLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.90
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.80
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nice attack

1.00goals per match
Nimes conceded2.20
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.80goals per match
Nice conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.80
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
2.90
On target
3.80
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.4%61.5%+7.1 pp
Draw24.8%23.7%-1.1 pp
Away20.9%14.8%-6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.810.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-011.9%
1-111.1%
2-19.6%
3-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.103.92
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Draw FT36.2%24.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT17.0%8.9%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.7%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals23.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.0%
Away44.7%