Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 20:00
14.7120.2%
X4.0623.5%
21.6956.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
DWWWDWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lyon
WDWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
2.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
1.70goals per matchLyon conceded0.90Matchup
Lyon attack
2.40goals per matchMarseille conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
24.90
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.70
On target
6.10
15%
Conversion
18%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%25.8%+5.5 pp
Draw23.5%22.7%-0.7 pp
Away56.3%51.5%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS60.6%
Historical average
1.08–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-212.1%
0-19.1%
2-19.1%
1-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
3.85–5.70
Average total9.55
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away64.7%