Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 20:00
14.7120.2%
X4.0623.5%
21.6956.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Marseille
DWWWDWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lyon
WDWWWWDWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.40
1.30
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.40
9.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.40
1.30
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Marseille attack

1.70goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.40goals per match
Marseille conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.40
9.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
23.20
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.70
On target
6.10
15%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches66
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%25.8%+5.5 pp
Draw23.5%22.7%-0.7 pp
Away56.3%51.5%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS60.6%

Historical average

1.081.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-212.1%
0-19.1%
2-19.1%
1-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.855.70
Average total9.55

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=66.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI
Draw FT23.5%9.6%–47.3% CI
Away FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away64.7%