Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
13.0830.9%
X3.3228.6%
22.3540.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nimes
LLLLLLLLWW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Nantes
LWDLLLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nimes attack
0.80goals per matchNantes conceded1.70Matchup
Nantes attack
1.20goals per matchNimes conceded2.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.40
Match total
28.80
Shots
9.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
2.20
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.3%-1.6 pp
Draw28.6%23.9%-4.7 pp
Away40.5%46.8%+6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS43.1%
Historical average
0.95–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.7%
1-113.3%
1-09.0%
0-29.0%
2-16.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.67–5.06
Average total9.73
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Away FT45.8%33.7%–58.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals30.5%
3+ goals10.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home37.3%
Away57.6%