Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
13.0830.9%
X3.3228.6%
22.3540.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
LLLLLLLLWW
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Nantes
LWDLLLDLDW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.20
2.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.10
Against
5.20
9.70
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.20
2.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.80goals per match
Nantes conceded1.70
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.20goals per match
Nimes conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.20
9.70
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.40
Match total
28.80

Shots

9.30N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
2.20
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches188
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.9%29.3%-1.6 pp
Draw28.6%23.9%-4.7 pp
Away40.5%46.8%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.518.1%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

0.951.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.7%
1-113.3%
1-09.0%
0-29.0%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.06
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=188.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.526.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches59
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT27.1%17.4%–39.6% CI
Away FT45.8%33.7%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals30.5%
3+ goals10.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.3%
Away57.6%