Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
12.8533.3%
X3.0231.5%
22.7035.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Angers
WDLLWLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lens
LWWWLLDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Angers attack
1.20goals per matchLens conceded1.20Matchup
Lens attack
1.30goals per matchAngers conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.40
Match total
25.50
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches177
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%38.4%+5.1 pp
Draw31.5%36.2%+4.7 pp
Away35.2%25.4%-9.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS48.0%
Historical average
1.21–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
0-013.6%
1-011.9%
0-110.2%
2-19.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.78–4.29
Average total9.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=177.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.526.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%26.2%–49.1% CI
Draw FT47.7%36.0%–59.6% CI
Away FT15.4%8.6%–26.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.1%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.2%
Away35.4%