Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 14:00
12.8533.3%
X3.0231.5%
22.7035.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
WDLLWLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lens
LWWWLLDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.30
Against
6.20
10.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.20
Matchup

Lens attack

1.30goals per match
Angers conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.30
Corners against
6.20
10.40
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
27.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.90
On target
3.00
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches177
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.3%38.4%+5.1 pp
Draw31.5%36.2%+4.7 pp
Away35.2%25.4%-9.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.518.6%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.210.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-013.6%
1-011.9%
0-110.2%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.784.29
Average total9.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=177.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.533.9%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.9%26.2%–49.1% CI
Draw FT47.7%36.0%–59.6% CI
Away FT15.4%8.6%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.1%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away35.4%