Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-28 · 12:00
11.4565.3%
X4.8019.7%
26.3215.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
DWWWLDWWWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brest
LLWLDLLLDD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.60
90%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.20
Against
6.40
8.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.30goals per match
Brest conceded1.60
Matchup

Brest attack

0.90goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.40
8.80
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
27.30
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.70
On target
2.60
18%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches51
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%58.8%-6.5 pp
Draw19.7%27.5%+7.7 pp
Away15.0%13.7%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS58.8%

Historical average

2.271.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.7%
3-09.8%
1-19.8%
2-27.8%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.27
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=51.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away45.5%