Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-24 · 18:00
12.8633.2%
X3.3328.5%
22.4838.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nimes
DLLLLLLLLW
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Lorient
LWDLLLDLDD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
2.30
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.10
Against
5.30
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
2.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.80goals per match
Lorient conceded1.90
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Nimes conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.30
9.80
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.20
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
24.60
Match total
24.60

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.40
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches155
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.2%32.9%-0.3 pp
Draw28.5%23.2%-5.3 pp
Away38.3%43.9%+5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.171.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
0-111.6%
1-010.3%
2-19.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.99
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.4%13.6%–37.2% CI
Draw FT29.8%18.7%–44.0% CI
Away FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.2%
Away59.6%