Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 16:00
14.2322.5%
X3.3628.3%
21.9349.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lorient
DLLLWLLWWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lille
WDLDWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
9.10
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
0.70
3.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lorient attack
1.30goals per matchLille conceded0.70Matchup
Lille attack
1.90goals per matchLorient conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
9.10
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.00
Match total
26.40
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.70
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.5%35.0%+12.5 pp
Draw28.3%15.0%-13.3 pp
Away49.2%50.0%+0.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.0%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.515.0%
BTTS45.0%
Historical average
1.05–1.27
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-217.5%
1-017.5%
0-115.0%
1-112.5%
3-05.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.03–5.10
Average total9.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.552.5%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.527.5%
Over 11.515.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI
Draw FT26.7%10.9%–52.0% CI
Away FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away60.0%