Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-21 · 14:00
11.5362.0%
X4.0423.5%
26.5014.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lens
WDDLLWLLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Dijon
LLDWDWDLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
6.60
9.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lens attack

1.40goals per match
Dijon conceded1.90
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.20goals per match
Lens conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.60
9.50
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
27.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.50
On target
3.20
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches95
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%56.8%-5.1 pp
Draw23.5%26.3%+2.9 pp
Away14.6%16.8%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

1.810.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-012.6%
0-19.5%
3-08.4%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.733.86
Average total10.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=95.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.7%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.550.5%
Over 11.543.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Draw FT32.3%18.6%–49.9% CI
Away FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals32.3%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away45.2%