Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-19 · 20:00
15.8216.4%
X4.6720.4%
21.5163.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brest
WLWWWDWLLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Lyon
DWDWWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
2.20
1.60
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
4.40
9.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.20
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
3.50
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brest attack

1.90goals per match
Lyon conceded0.80
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.20goals per match
Brest conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
1.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.40
9.80
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.80
Match total
25.40

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
5.60
On target
6.00
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.4%18.8%+2.4 pp
Draw20.4%18.8%-1.7 pp
Away63.2%62.5%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.132.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-218.8%
1-112.5%
2-36.3%
0-06.3%
3-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.884.25
Average total8.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.543.8%
Over 9.543.8%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.518.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away58.3%