Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-17 · 20:00
12.2941.5%
X3.3528.4%
23.1630.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Marseille
DDWWWDWLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Nice
DWWDWLDWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
9.50
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
2.70
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Marseille attack
1.50goals per matchNice conceded0.80Matchup
Nice attack
1.20goals per matchMarseille conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
9.50
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.90
Match total
24.50
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.50
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.5%42.3%+0.8 pp
Draw28.4%28.2%-0.2 pp
Away30.1%29.5%-0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.38–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
2-111.8%
0-19.8%
1-09.8%
0-08.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.63
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches105
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.3%25.9%–43.8% CI
Draw FT41.0%32.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT24.8%17.5%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals10.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.4%
Away46.7%