Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 16:00
11.5262.3%
X4.1522.8%
26.3414.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lille
WWDWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brest
LLLWLDLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
9.90
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lille attack

1.90goals per match
Brest conceded1.90
Matchup

Brest attack

1.10goals per match
Lille conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
9.90
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.70
Match total
24.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%71.1%+8.8 pp
Draw22.8%18.4%-4.4 pp
Away14.9%10.5%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

2.000.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-018.4%
2-110.5%
1-19.2%
3-09.2%
2-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.55
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Draw FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Away FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.0%
Away37.0%