Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 16:00
11.5262.3%
X4.1522.8%
26.3414.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lille
WWDWWWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Brest
LLLWLDLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Against
6.10
9.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.50
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lille attack
1.90goals per matchBrest conceded1.90Matchup
Brest attack
1.10goals per matchLille conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.10
9.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.70
Match total
24.10
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.40
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%71.1%+8.8 pp
Draw22.8%18.4%-4.4 pp
Away14.9%10.5%-4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS44.7%
Historical average
2.00–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-018.4%
2-110.5%
1-19.2%
3-09.2%
2-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.34–3.55
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.546.1%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT59.3%40.7%–75.5% CI
Draw FT14.8%5.9%–32.5% CI
Away FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.0%
Away37.0%