Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
12.9931.7%
X2.9731.9%
22.6136.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
WWDLLWDDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Strasbourg
LWLLWWLWDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.40
Against
6.50
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.30goals per match
Strasbourg conceded1.70
Matchup

Strasbourg attack

1.70goals per match
Metz conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.50
10.10
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
27.10
Match total
22.80

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
18%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches88
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.7%37.5%+5.8 pp
Draw31.9%36.4%+4.4 pp
Away36.3%26.1%-10.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.514.8%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.221.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.2%
0-110.2%
0-010.2%
2-110.2%
2-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.584.41
Average total8.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=88.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.8%
Over 9.545.5%
Over 10.526.1%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Draw FT41.9%26.4%–59.2% CI
Away FT22.6%11.4%–39.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.6%
Away45.2%