Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 14:00
12.2841.6%
X3.0131.5%
23.5326.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Angers
WWDLLWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Nantes
LLWDLLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.30
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Angers attack

1.20goals per match
Nantes conceded1.80
Matchup

Nantes attack

0.90goals per match
Angers conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.90
Match total
27.70

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.6%45.1%+3.5 pp
Draw31.5%29.2%-2.3 pp
Away26.9%25.6%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.1%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.515.4%
BTTS43.1%

Historical average

1.230.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.9%
0-012.3%
1-112.3%
2-011.3%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.914.05
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.8%
Over 9.536.9%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.519.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Draw FT39.8%29.9%–50.5% CI
Away FT21.7%14.2%–31.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals30.1%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.6%
Away37.3%