Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-14 · 12:00
11.3868.7%
X5.0418.8%
27.6112.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monaco
WDWWWLDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lorient
LLWDLLLDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
2.00
90%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.30
Against
5.00
8.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monaco attack

2.40goals per match
Lorient conceded2.00
Matchup

Lorient attack

1.00goals per match
Monaco conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.00
8.80
Match total
10.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
27.00
Match total
25.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
19%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches35
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.7%71.4%+2.7 pp
Draw18.8%22.9%+4.0 pp
Away12.5%5.7%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

2.430.74

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-017.1%
2-114.3%
1-111.4%
3-18.6%
2-05.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.00
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=35.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.4%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%39.1%–86.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away33.3%