Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-13 · 20:00
11.3769.4%
X5.2918.0%
27.5012.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lyon
DWWWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Montpellier
DDWWWWDLLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
12.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
3.20
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lyon attack

2.30goals per match
Montpellier conceded1.50
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.40goals per match
Lyon conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
12.90
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.40
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches40
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.4%57.5%-11.9 pp
Draw18.0%30.0%+12.0 pp
Away12.7%12.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.5%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.532.5%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.021.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.5%
2-112.5%
1-112.5%
2-212.5%
3-010.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.853.52
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=40.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.545.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away36.4%