Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 16:00
14.6120.6%
X3.5027.2%
21.8252.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nantes
DWLDLDDDDL
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Lille
DWDLDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.80
1.60
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.20
Against
4.30
8.20
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.60
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nantes attack

1.00goals per match
Lille conceded0.80
Matchup

Lille attack

1.80goals per match
Nantes conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.30
8.20
Match total
8.00
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
27.80
Match total
26.80

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.40
On target
5.00
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches17
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.6%35.3%+14.7 pp
Draw27.2%11.8%-15.4 pp
Away52.2%52.9%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.517.6%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

0.881.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.6%
0-311.8%
2-011.8%
0-111.8%
1-211.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.655.76
Average total9.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=17.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.8%
Over 9.541.2%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away54.5%