Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 14:00
11.7554.3%
X3.6526.0%
24.8319.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Montpellier
WLLWLLLDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Dijon
LLLDWDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
2.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
10.70
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
2.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Montpellier attack
1.50goals per matchDijon conceded1.60Matchup
Dijon attack
1.00goals per matchMontpellier conceded2.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
10.70
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
25.80
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.80
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%58.0%+3.7 pp
Draw26.0%25.9%-0.2 pp
Away19.7%16.1%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.67–0.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.1%
0-011.2%
1-111.2%
2-110.5%
2-010.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.32–3.91
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.535.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals8.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.4%
Away27.7%