Ligue 1 · 2020/21
2021-02-07 · 14:00
11.7554.3%
X3.6526.0%
24.8319.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Montpellier
WLLWLLLDLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Dijon
LLLDWDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
2.30
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
10.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
2.30
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Montpellier attack

1.50goals per match
Dijon conceded1.60
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.00goals per match
Montpellier conceded2.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
10.70
Match total
10.80
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
25.30
Match total
25.80

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.80
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches143
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%58.0%+3.7 pp
Draw26.0%25.9%-0.2 pp
Away19.7%16.1%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.670.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.1%
0-011.2%
1-111.2%
2-110.5%
2-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.323.91
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=143.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.4%27.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT46.8%33.3%–60.8% CI
Away FT12.8%6.0%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals8.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away27.7%