Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 19:00
13.3328.5%
X3.6526.0%
22.0945.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nice
LWDWWWDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Monaco
LWLLWDDLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
6.40
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.40
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nice attack

2.00goals per match
Monaco conceded1.50
Matchup

Monaco attack

1.20goals per match
Nice conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
6.40
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
24.00
Match total
26.70

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.00
On target
4.20
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.5%33.3%+4.8 pp
Draw26.0%20.8%-5.2 pp
Away45.4%45.8%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

1.381.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
2-112.5%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
0-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.71
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.541.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Away FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.3%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals41.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away75.0%