Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 19:00
12.4139.4%
X3.0830.9%
23.2029.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Metz
DWDDLDWWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Nimes
LDDLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.30
Against
4.50
10.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.20
2.40
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Metz attack

1.20goals per match
Nimes conceded2.20
Matchup

Nimes attack

0.90goals per match
Metz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.50
10.30
Match total
9.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.10
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
25.80
Match total
24.90

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.20
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches92
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%40.2%+0.8 pp
Draw30.9%30.4%-0.4 pp
Away29.7%29.3%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.514.1%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.181.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.5%
1-014.1%
2-19.8%
0-18.7%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.263.88
Average total9.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=92.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.3%
Over 9.538.0%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.523.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%29.8%–62.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%19.8%–50.4% CI
Away FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.6%
Away45.5%