Ligue 1 · 2019/20
2020-03-07 · 19:00
11.8750.9%
X3.5826.6%
24.2422.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dijon
DWWWDDWWDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Toulouse
DLLLLLLDLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.40
2.70
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dijon attack

1.70goals per match
Toulouse conceded2.40
Matchup

Toulouse attack

0.70goals per match
Dijon conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
26.10
Match total
26.30

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%53.0%+2.1 pp
Draw26.6%26.5%-0.1 pp
Away22.5%20.5%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.631.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.0%
1-012.0%
1-110.8%
2-010.8%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.75
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.7%
Over 9.560.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI
Draw FT32.1%17.9%–50.7% CI
Away FT28.6%15.3%–47.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away42.9%